Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.004111 0.004322 0.004537 0.004775 0.005030 0.005296 0.005595
2025-01-19 0.003616 0.003917 0.004238 0.004607 0.005023 0.005477 0.006013
2025-01-26 0.003407 0.003766 0.004160 0.004629 0.005173 0.005789 0.006544
2025-02-02 0.003314 0.003727 0.004191 0.004756 0.005432 0.006220 0.007222
2025-02-09 0.003138 0.003575 0.004075 0.004698 0.005458 0.006368 0.007556
2025-02-16 0.003014 0.003474 0.004010 0.004689 0.005536 0.006573 0.007962
2025-02-23 0.002895 0.003372 0.003935 0.004659 0.005580 0.006731 0.008312
2025-03-02 0.002829 0.003328 0.003926 0.004709 0.005722 0.007015 0.008836
2025-03-09 0.002729 0.003237 0.003854 0.004671 0.005746 0.007145 0.009155
2025-03-16 0.002636 0.003150 0.003781 0.004628 0.005760 0.007256 0.009451
2025-03-23 0.002534 0.003049 0.003686 0.004551 0.005721 0.007291 0.009638
2025-03-30 0.002445 0.002960 0.003603 0.004486 0.005694 0.007339 0.009842
2025-04-06 0.002391 0.002915 0.003578 0.004497 0.005775 0.007546 0.010298
2025-04-13 0.002271 0.002782 0.003433 0.004343 0.005619 0.007409 0.010230
2025-04-20 0.002229 0.002749 0.003417 0.004363 0.005709 0.007627 0.010716
2025-04-27 0.002226 0.002767 0.003471 0.004480 0.005940 0.008063 0.011572
2025-05-04 0.002160 0.002699 0.003405 0.004426 0.005920 0.008122 0.011822
2025-05-11 0.002115 0.002657 0.003372 0.004418 0.005966 0.008281 0.012247
2025-05-18 0.002065 0.002607 0.003328 0.004391 0.005981 0.008392 0.012596
2025-05-25 0.002043 0.002594 0.003334 0.004436 0.006107 0.008682 0.013271
2025-06-01 0.001995 0.002545 0.003287 0.004402 0.006109 0.008772 0.013599
2025-06-08 0.001948 0.002495 0.003238 0.004362 0.006101 0.008845 0.013900
2025-06-15 0.001893 0.002432 0.003169 0.004291 0.006039 0.008827 0.014031